253 Views

Organized Oral Session

Session: Predicting ecosystem consequences of climate change from the adaptation and acclimation of key species

OOS 42-1 - Local adaptation and phenotypic plasticity in Fremont cottonwood responding to multiple climate stressors

Thursday, August 18, 2022

10:00 AM – 10:15 AM EDT

Location: 520E

Presenting Author(s)

HC

Hillary F. Cooper

Northern Arizona University
Flagstaff, Arizona, United States

Co-author(s)

LA

Lela V. Andrews

Northern Arizona University
JC

Jaclyn P.M. Corbin

Northern Arizona University
IG

Iris J. Garthwaite

Northern Arizona University
ME

Michael A. Eisenring

Swiss Federal Research Institute for Forest, Snow, and Landscape Research
RL

Richard L. Lindroth

Dept. of Entomology, University of Wisconsin-Madison
Madison, WI, USA
KG

Kevin C. Grady

Northern Arizona University
CG

Catherine A. Gehring, Ph.D.

Co-director
Center for Adaptable Western Landscapes
KH

Kevin R. Hultine

Department of Research, Conservation and Collections, Desert Botanical Garden, Arizona, United States
TW

Thomas G. Whitham

Northern Arizona University
AG

Allan J. Gerard

Northern Arizona University
RB

Rebecca Best, n/a

Northern Arizona University
Flagstaff, Arizona, United States

Background/Question/Methods
In order to understand the impacts of climate change on natural ecosystems, we must be able to predict species’ responses to shifts in their environment. Phenotypic responses include shifts in mean traits as well as the direction and magnitude of trait plasticity, which can cascade to affect numerous dependent species within complex community networks. These impacts are especially strong in species of high ecosystem consequence such as foundation species. Here, we evaluate differences in trait means and plasticity in a foundation riparian species of the southwestern US, Populus fremontii (Fremont cottonwood), to combined biotic and abiotic stresses. We then seek to understand whether these responses can be predicted from the past climate to which these populations have evolved. Using a replicated common garden design combined with a simulated herbivory treatment, we were able to disentangle genetic (G), environmental (E), and G x E effects of climate transfers and herbivory damage on morphological, phenological, and phytochemical traits among 16 populations of Fremont cottonwoods collected throughout Arizona.

Results/Conclusions
We found that: 1) There were strong genetic effects for most traits within the three common gardens as well as for phenotypic plasticity across gardens. 2) These trait differences led to reciprocal differences in growth and survival, indicating local adaptation to provenance climates. 3) The magnitude of plasticity depended on the trait measured and a population’s source climate. Whereas some traits showed higher plasticity in populations from hot climates, others showed the opposite pattern, 4) Tradeoffs between growth and defense may explain differences in plastic responses to abiotic vs. biotic stress. 5) Traits and trait plasticities show evidence of climate-driven divergent selection based on Q_ST-F_ST analysis and climate-phenotype regressions. Overall, these common garden studies demonstrate large genetic, environmental, and GxE interactions for many important traits. In the Southwest, where warming temperatures and increasingly variable precipitation patterns have already impacted riparian forests, predicting changes in tree traits under climate change is essential for successful management into the future. Although genetic divergence in both mean traits and plastic responses across a steep climate gradient provide some predictive power, additional selection pressures from insect attacks and changing streamflow require a multivariate approach to understanding the links between past and future performance.