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Ryan McClure, Cayelan Carey and Whitney M. Woelmer, Biological Sciences, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA, Sarah H. Burnet, Fish and Wildlife Sciences, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID, James Guinnip, Division of Biology, Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS, Quinn Thomas, Forest Resources and Environmental Conservation, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA, Christopher Brown, NOAA National Environment Satellite Data and Information Service, College Park, MD, Jacob A Zwart, Integrated Information Dissemination Division, US Geological Survey, Madison, WI
Freshwater ecosystems are increasingly threatened by adverse water quality as a result of rapid changes in land use and climate. In response, iterative, near-term ecological forecasting has emerged as a powerful tool to predict the future state of inland waters. We developed a challenge inviting participants to predict water temperature and dissolved oxygen in two NEON sites: Barco Lake and Posey Creek one-week into the future. Our goal with this challenge is to 1) create freely accessible forecast workflows; 2) develop a community of practitioners who forecast ecological processes; and 3) provide insight to the predictability of freshwater ecosystems.
