1226 - Performance of a Host Response Test for Bacterial/Viral Discrimination in Immunocompromised Patients

Background: Difficulty distinguishing bacterial and viral infections contributes to excess antibiotic use. A host response strategy overcomes many limitations of pathogen-based tests, but depends on a functional immune system. This approach may therefore be limited in immunocompromised (IC) hosts. Here, we evaluated a host response test in IC subjects, which has not been extensively studied in this manner.

Methods: An 81-gene signature was measured using qRT-PCR in previously enrolled IC subjects (chemotherapy, solid organ transplant, immunomodulatory agents, AIDS) with confirmed bacterial infection, viral infection, or non-infectious illness (NI). A regularized logistic regression model estimated the likelihood of bacterial, viral, and noninfectious classes. Clinical adjudication was the reference standard.

Results: A host gene expression model trained in a cohort of 136 immunocompetent subjects (43 bacterial, 41 viral, and 52 NI) had an overall accuracy of 84.6% for the diagnosis of bacterial vs. non-bacterial infection and 80.8% for viral vs. non-viral infection. The model was validated in an independent cohort of 134 IC subjects (64 bacterial, 28 viral, 42 NI). The overall accuracy was 73.9% for bacterial infection (p=0.03 vs. training cohort) and 75.4% for viral infection (p=0.27). Test utility could be improved by reporting probability ranges. For example, results divided into probability quartiles would allow the highest quartile to be used to rule in infection and the lowest to rule out infection. For IC subjects in the lowest quartile, the test had 90.1% and 96.4% sensitivity for bacterial and viral infection, respectively. For the highest quartile, the test had 91.4% and 84.0% specificity for bacterial and viral infection, respectively. The type or number of immunocompromising conditions did not impact performance.Illness Etiology Probabilities


Conclusion: A host gene expression test discriminated bacterial, viral, and non-infectious etiologies at a lower overall accuracy in IC patients compared to immunocompetent patients, though this difference was only significant for bacterial vs non-bacterial disease. With modified interpretive criteria, a host response strategy may offer clinically useful and complementary diagnostic information for IC patients.